The reason for this is simple: Juventus and AC Milan, the two Italian clubs in pot 1, cannot be drawn against each other. As a result, each of them has additional potential opponents among the other teams in the pot. For Lyon and Marseille, who also rule out the possibility of facing each other, this slightly increases the probability of facing an Italian club. According to the simulations, the probability of Lyon and Marseille facing Juventus and AC Milan is approximately 32%, which is only slightly higher than the probability of facing other teams in the pot (between 27 and 28%). Rennes, on the other hand, has approximately the same number of chances of facing any team from the pot 1 (between 28 and 29%). The draw for the Ligue Europa phase will take place at 13:00, and can be followed live on lequipe.fr.
Ligue Europa: Lyon and Marseille have slightly more chance of facing an Italian club
Olympique Lyonnais and Olympique de Marseille have a slightly higher chance of facing a club from Italy in the Ligue Europa phase, according to L'Équipe Football. The report is based on 30,000 simulations developed by Julien Guyon, a professor of applied mathematics at the École nationale des ponts et chaussées.
This article was assembled with AI assistance and editorially reviewed.
Photo: Vyacheslav Evdokimov · CC BY-SA 3.0