Ceará's chances of accessing Série A directly have fallen to less than 0.01% following their recent form, which has seen the club suffer consecutive defeats. The latest loss came against Náutico, and this setback has seen the club drop to the Z-4 zone, alongside Londrina, América-MG, and Ponte Preta.
Globo Esporte Futebol, in partnership with economist Bruno Imaizumi, has calculated the teams' chances of accessing Série A directly based on 10,000 simulations of the remaining games. The results show that Ceará's chances have decreased significantly, while other teams such as Juventude and Vila Nova have seen their chances increase.
Juventude's chances of accessing Série A directly have risen to 47.30%, while Vila Nova's chances have increased to 34.33%. These teams are currently in the Z-2 zone, alongside Criciúma, who still leads the way with a 68.97% chance of accessing Série A directly.
Ceará's next challenge will be to face Fortaleza, who are currently in fifth place, in the Heriberto Hulse stadium. The teams with the highest chances of accessing Série A directly are Criciúma (68.97%), Juventude (47.30%), and Vila Nova (34.33%). The teams with the lowest chances of accessing Série A directly are América-MG (0%), Ponte Preta (0%), and Ceará (less than 0.01%).